Entropy's Vegas Plays


Customers get private directories on the web site (your own private URL). In your directory you will find links to all the information for the leagues you purchased. We post selections against the opening/early lines as soon as possible, and then check for updated lines throughout the week. Selection appear as follows:


NFL sides (early leans):
Denver +4.0 over New England

NFL sides (confirmed plays):
Denver +4.0/3.0 over New England
Jacksonville +3.0 over Tennessee

Early leans are posted shortly after the opening lines come out. Generally, more time is needed to confirm whether a play is good or not, and so a second section contains the confirmed plays for the week. Some early leans won't make it to the confirmed stage, and some confirmed picks will be games that did not become good plays until the line moved. Either way, you will be in good shape whether you like to jump on early lines, or if you save your wagering until 5 minutes before kick-off.

Where two numbers are given, the first is the best line that is or was available at some point, and the second is the least desirable line that would still be recommended. This way customers know that if Denver moved to +2.5, in this example, they would no longer be recommended.


Customers also get projections for margins of victory, point totals, and money lines for every game. Prediction lists come in two sections, and look like the following:

winner                     by loser                  line
---------------------------------------------------------
Middle Tennessee State   4.39 Florida Atlantic
Boise State             24.43 Louisiana Tech
South Florida            5.37 Pittsburgh
Memphis                  0.91`U.A.B.
Utah                     5.23 Oregon State

 total    ML1 winner                    ML2 loser                    pWIN
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
 42.39   -161 Middle Tennessee State    161 Florida Atlantic         .618
 45.99  -2241 Boise State              2241 Louisiana Tech           .957
 49.12   -182 South Florida             182 Pittsburgh               .646
 56.19   -108 Memphis                   108`U.A.B.                   .522
 57.61   -179 Utah                      179 Oregon State             .642

The first section gives margin of victory projections. The line column is open in case users want to edit the data to note their book's spreads. In the second section, the total column is our projection for the number of points to be scored, and the ML columns indicate minimum money line values that would be favorable. When a book offers a money line greater than our number, it is a recommended play.

Another list is supplied showing the Las Vegas over/under alongside our projection, the difference between the two, the recommended play (O=over, U=under), and an * marking recommended plays. Customers have found this list extraordinarily helpful in that the difference column can be quickly scanned to spot games to keep an eye on for line changes. If a difference is quoted at 4.62 points, and you want to wager on games with differences greater than 5, then you quickly know that you are waiting for a half-point line move on that particular game. Sample list:

                                                 proj.  Vegas    diff   play
                                                 ---------------------------
Tulane                  S.M.U.                   52.75   48.0    4.75 * O
Southern Cal            Oregon State             53.26   54.0   -0.74   U
Connecticut             Louisville               46.87   51.5   -4.63 * U
Wake Forest             Navy                     49.87   54.0   -4.13   U
Western Michigan        Temple                   51.86   51.5    0.36   O
West Virginia           Marshall                 46.37   51.5   -5.13 * U
Pittsburgh              Syracuse                 50.16   47.5    2.66   O


For college and pro basketball, prediction lists are provided for the upcoming two days of games, since some books take early action.

You also get a list of each team's power rating for its last five games. At a glance you can determine which teams are hottest and coldest in a league. Below is an example. The first section shows the current power ratings in order from top to bottom, while the second section sorts teams according to their delta values. At a glance one can see which teams are the hottest and coldest.

    NBA, 12/28/09
 
    team                     w  l  t    power   last5   delta
    ---------------------------------------------------------
  1 Atlanta                 21  8       97.73   95.08  - 2.65
  2 Boston                  23  6       97.18   92.47  - 4.71
  3 Cleveland               24  8       96.79  108.04  +11.25
  4 LA Lakers               24  5       96.29   95.03  - 1.26
  5 Orlando                 22  8       95.42   92.04  - 3.38
  6 Denver                  20 11       94.43   90.86  - 3.57
  7 Phoenix                 19 12       94.27   93.26  - 1.01
  8 San Antonio             17 11       94.26   94.35  + 0.09
  9 Portland                20 12       94.21   99.50  + 5.29
 10 Dallas                  22  9       94.20   92.83  - 1.37
 11 Utah                    17 13       93.00   94.13  + 1.13
 12 Houston                 18 13       92.72   86.45  - 6.27
 13 Oklahoma City           15 14       92.46   95.24  + 2.78
 14 Miami                   16 12       91.64  100.97  + 9.33
 15 Milwaukee               12 16       88.55   83.83  - 4.72
 16 Memphis                 13 16       88.54   93.39  + 4.85
 17 Charlotte               11 17       88.54   87.53  - 1.01
 18 Sacramento              13 16       88.17   83.54  - 4.63
 19 Toronto                 15 17       87.54   95.82  + 8.28
 20 New Orleans             13 15       87.12   87.61  + 0.49
 21 New York                11 19       86.95   85.80  - 1.15
 22 Detroit                 11 19       86.86   76.78  -10.08
 23 Washington              10 18       86.60   87.11  + 0.51
 24 Philadelphia             7 22       85.78   84.76  - 1.02
 25 LA Clippers             13 17       85.71   85.15  - 0.56
 26 Golden State             8 21       85.28   82.45  - 2.83
 27 Indiana                  9 20       84.85   82.78  - 2.07
 28 Chicago                 11 17       84.47   89.67  + 5.20
 29 Minnesota                7 24       81.10   86.90  + 5.80
 30 New Jersey               2 28       79.34   74.62  - 4.72
  
  
    team                     w  l  t    power   last5   delta
    ---------------------------------------------------------
  1 Cleveland               24  8       96.79  108.04  +11.25
  2 Miami                   16 12       91.64  100.97  + 9.33
  3 Toronto                 15 17       87.54   95.82  + 8.28
  4 Minnesota                7 24       81.10   86.90  + 5.80
  5 Portland                20 12       94.21   99.50  + 5.29
  6 Chicago                 11 17       84.47   89.67  + 5.20
  7 Memphis                 13 16       88.54   93.39  + 4.85
  8 Oklahoma City           15 14       92.46   95.24  + 2.78
  9 Utah                    17 13       93.00   94.13  + 1.13
 10 Washington              10 18       86.60   87.11  + 0.51
 11 New Orleans             13 15       87.12   87.61  + 0.49
 12 San Antonio             17 11       94.26   94.35  + 0.09
 13 LA Clippers             13 17       85.71   85.15  - 0.56
 14 Charlotte               11 17       88.54   87.53  - 1.01
 15 Phoenix                 19 12       94.27   93.26  - 1.01
 16 Philadelphia             7 22       85.78   84.76  - 1.02
 17 New York                11 19       86.95   85.80  - 1.15
 18 LA Lakers               24  5       96.29   95.03  - 1.26
 19 Dallas                  22  9       94.20   92.83  - 1.37
 20 Indiana                  9 20       84.85   82.78  - 2.07
 21 Atlanta                 21  8       97.73   95.08  - 2.65
 22 Golden State             8 21       85.28   82.45  - 2.83
 23 Orlando                 22  8       95.42   92.04  - 3.38
 24 Denver                  20 11       94.43   90.86  - 3.57
 25 Sacramento              13 16       88.17   83.54  - 4.63
 26 Boston                  23  6       97.18   92.47  - 4.71
 27 Milwaukee               12 16       88.55   83.83  - 4.72
 28 New Jersey               2 28       79.34   74.62  - 4.72
 29 Houston                 18 13       92.72   86.45  - 6.27
 30 Detroit                 11 19       86.86   76.78  -10.08

How many services provide this much information for such reasonable prices?!

New: As if all that were not enough, you also get links to data files for each and every game which display loads of useful historical data. Customer feedback is strong on this feature. It seems most are finding this data extremely interesting to peruse. If anything is going to help a bettor win, it is habitually watching lists like these for games of interest. CLICK HERE for more information and sample data.


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