Entropy's Vegas Plays
Customers get private directories on the web site (your own private URL). In your directory you will find links to all the information for the leagues you purchased. The football Vegas Plays are listed by both opening and updated lines. We post selections against the opening lines as soon as possible, and then check for updated lines throughout the week. This way customers can keep on top of new opportunities as they arise. Selection lists look like this (the following is not a complete list - in a given week there are usually several selections):
NFL sides (openers):
Kansas City +3.0 over Cincinnati
NFL sides (updated lines):
Kansas City +2.5 over Cincinnati
This list would mean that when the line opened at KC +3, I considered it a good play, and later in the week when the line moved to KC +2.5, I still considered it a good play. If the updated line had not appeared in the list, that would have meant KC +2.5 is not recommended.
college football sides (openers):
San Jose State +18.0 over Hawaii
college football sides (updated lines):
San Jose State +18.5 over Hawaii
Navy -4.5 over Pittsburgh
This list shows that San Jose State was considered a good play on the opening line of +18 and the updated line of +18.5 (it would be obvious to experienced bettors that +18.5 is still good, but the new line is posted just to alert customers that their book might carry the better line). Since Navy did not appear in the opening line list, that means that their opening line was a less attractive line that did not qualify. Navy might have been favored by 6 to open, and according to the analysis they were not be a worthy play at -6.
Customers also get projections for margins of victory, point totals, and money lines for every single game. Prediction lists come in two sections, and look like the following:
winner by loser line --------------------------------------------------------- Middle Tennessee State 4.39 Florida Atlantic Boise State 24.43 Louisiana Tech South Florida 5.37 Pittsburgh Memphis 0.91`U.A.B. Utah 5.23 Oregon State total ML1 winner ML2 loser pWIN ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 42.39 -161 Middle Tennessee State 161 Florida Atlantic .618 45.99 -2241 Boise State 2241 Louisiana Tech .957 49.12 -182 South Florida 182 Pittsburgh .646 56.19 -108 Memphis 108`U.A.B. .522 57.61 -179 Utah 179 Oregon State .642
The first section gives margin of victory projections. The line column is open in case users want to cut and paste the file and type in their book's spread. In the second section, the total column is our projection for the number of points to be scored, and the ML columns indicate minimum money line values that would be favorable. When a book offers a money line greater than our number, it is a recommended play.
Another list is supplied showing the Las Vegas over/under alongside our projection, the difference between the two, the recommended play (O=over, U=under), and an * marking recommended plays. Customers have found this list extraordinarily helpful in that the difference column can be quickly scanned to spot games to keep an eye on for line changes. If a difference is quoted at 4.62 points, and you want to wager on games with differences greater than 5, then you quickly know that you are waiting for a half-point line move on that particular game. Sample list:
my num Vegas diff play
----------------------------
Tulane S.M.U. 52.75 48.0 4.75 * O
Southern Cal Oregon State 53.26 54.0 -0.74 U
Connecticut Louisville 46.87 51.5 -4.63 * U
Wake Forest Navy 49.87 54.0 -4.13 U
Western Michigan Temple 51.86 51.5 0.36 O
West Virginia Marshall 46.37 51.5 -5.13 * U
Pittsburgh Syracuse 50.16 47.5 2.66 O
For college and pro basketball, prediction lists are provided for the upcoming two days of games, since some sports books issue two days worth of lines. Lists appear in the same format (as shown above) for all leagues.
Fans of totals and money lines take note: How many handicappers provide you with this much information for such reasonable prices?!