Game 3 road team: Miami : current rating = 18.53, last_5_delta = 0.00 home team: Buffalo : current rating = 18.38, last_5_delta = 0.00 Miami is favored by 3.0 *** Miami home sched rating: 23.05, ave MoV: 0.75 * Miami road sched rating: 22.06, ave MoV: -4.50 * Buffalo home sched rating: 22.18, ave MoV: 0.29 * Buffalo road sched rating: 20.91, ave MoV: -8.00 * * - last season's values Miami home/road ratings: 20.80 / 20.56 Buffalo home/road ratings: 19.47 / 15.91 Miami ave points for/against/combined: 22.50 / 24.38 / 46.88 Buffalo ave points for/against/combined: 15.94 / 20.38 / 36.31 Miami home points for/against/combined: 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 Miami road points for/against/combined: 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 Buffalo home points for/against/combined: 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 Buffalo road points for/against/combined: 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- recent history between these teams: 11/29/2009 Miami 14 - 3.5 at Buffalo 31 10/ 4/2009 Buffalo 10 + 0.0 at Miami 38 12/ 7/2008 Miami 16 + 1.0 vs Buffalo 3 10/26/2008 Buffalo 16 + 0.0 at Miami 25 12/ 9/2007 Miami 17 + 7.0 at Buffalo 38 11/11/2007 Buffalo 13 - 2.5 at Miami 10 12/17/2006 Miami 0 + 1.0 at Buffalo 21 9/17/2006 Buffalo 16 + 7.0 at Miami 6 12/ 4/2005 Buffalo 23 + 3.0 at Miami 24 10/ 9/2005 Miami 14 + 2.5 at Buffalo 20 12/ 5/2004 Buffalo 42 - 3.0 at Miami 32 10/17/2004 Miami 13 + 6.5 at Buffalo 20 12/21/2003 Miami 20 - 1.0 at Buffalo 3 9/21/2003 Buffalo 7 + 3.0 at Miami 17 12/ 1/2002 Miami 21 + 1.5 at Buffalo 38 10/20/2002 Buffalo 23 + 3.5 at Miami 10 1/ 6/2002 Buffalo 7 + 7.0 at Miami 34 11/25/2001 Miami 34 - 5.5 at Buffalo 27 12/ 3/2000 Miami 33 + 3.0 at Buffalo 6 10/ 8/2000 Buffalo 13 + 2.0 at Miami 22 11/14/1999 Miami 3 + 3.0 at Buffalo 23 10/ 4/1999 Buffalo 23 + 4.5 at Miami 18 1/ 2/1999 Buffalo 17 + 3.0 at Miami 24 11/ 1/1998 Miami 24 + 1.0 at Buffalo 30 9/13/1998 Buffalo 7 + 7.0 at Miami 13 11/17/1997 Buffalo 13 + 6.0 at Miami 30 11/ 2/1997 Miami 6 + 2.0 at Buffalo 9 12/16/1996 Buffalo 14 - 1.0 at Miami 16 10/13/1996 Miami 21 + 6.5 at Buffalo 7 average outcome: Miami 19.1 Buffalo 17.9 margin = -1.21 time-weighted average outcome: Miami 18.1 Buffalo 19.4 margin = 1.23 average result when the home team is Buffalo Miami 16.9 Buffalo 19.7 margin = 2.86 average result when the home team is Miami Buffalo 16.3 Miami 21.3 margin = 5.00 average total points per game = 37.07 time-weighted average total = 37.52 the home team covered 60.71 % of the time the road team covered 39.29 % of the time ave ATS differential = 1.80 the favorite covered 62.96 % of the time the underdog covered 37.04 % of the time ave ATS differential = 1.98 Miami covered 44.83 % of the time Buffalo covered 55.17 % of the time ---------------------------------------------------------------------- similar games in recent history: 11/19/2009 Miami 24 + 3.0 at Carolina 17 12/ 1/2008 Jacksonville 17 + 3.0 at Houston 30 11/23/2008 New England 48 + 0.0 at Miami 28 9/ 7/2008 Cincinnati 10 - 1.5 at Baltimore 17 9/ 9/2007 Atlanta 3 + 3.0 at Minnesota 24 10/ 2/2005 Seattle 17 + 2.0 at Washington 20 10/ 6/2002 Washington 31 + 6.0 at Tennessee 14 9/29/2002 Chicago 27 + 3.0 at Buffalo 33 12/ 2/2001 San Diego 10 + 3.5 at Seattle 13 10/ 7/2001 Carolina 14 + 5.5 at San Francisco 24 9/ 3/2000 San Francisco 28 + 7.0 at Atlanta 36 11/21/1999 Chicago 23 + 1.0 at San Diego 20 9/20/1998 Chicago 15 + 7.5 at Tampa Bay 27 average point spread = + 3.3 the home team covered 61.54 % of the time the road team covered 38.46 % of the time ave ATS differential = -0.54 the favorite covered 58.33 % of the time the underdog covered 41.67 % of the time ave ATS differential = -2.00 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- games with the same point spread: 1/ 3/2010 Pittsburgh 30 - 3.0 at Miami 24 1/ 3/2010 Chicago 37 - 3.0 at Detroit 23 12/21/2009 NY Giants 45 - 3.0 at Washington 12 12/17/2009 Indianapolis 35 - 3.0 at Jacksonville 31 11/22/2009 San Diego 32 - 3.0 at Denver 3 11/22/2009 Philadelphia 24 - 3.0 at Chicago 20 11/15/2009 Dallas 7 - 3.0 at Green Bay 17 11/ 9/2009 Pittsburgh 28 - 3.0 at Denver 10 11/ 8/2009 Baltimore 7 - 3.0 at Cincinnati 17 10/18/2009 Carolina 28 - 3.0 at Tampa Bay 21 10/11/2009 New England 17 - 3.0 at Denver 20 10/ 4/2009 Tennessee 17 - 3.0 at Jacksonville 37 10/ 4/2009 Dallas 10 - 3.0 at Denver 17 9/21/2009 Indianapolis 27 - 3.0 at Miami 23 9/20/2009 Pittsburgh 14 - 3.0 at Chicago 17 1/ 4/2009 Philadelphia 26 - 3.0 at Minnesota 14 12/28/2008 Carolina 33 - 3.0 at New Orleans 31 12/28/2008 Tennessee 0 - 3.0 at Indianapolis 23 12/14/2008 Tennessee 12 - 3.0 at Houston 13 11/23/2008 Washington 20 - 3.0 at Seattle 17 11/23/2008 Buffalo 54 - 3.0 at Kansas City 31 11/23/2008 NY Giants 37 - 3.0 at Arizona 29 11/16/2008 Arizona 26 - 3.0 at Seattle 20 11/16/2008 Tennessee 24 - 3.0 at Jacksonville 14 11/ 9/2008 Tennessee 21 - 3.0 at Chicago 14 11/ 2/2008 Arizona 34 - 3.0 at Saint Louis 13 11/ 2/2008 Atlanta 24 - 3.0 at Oakland 0 10/19/2008 NY Jets 13 - 3.0 at Oakland 16 10/ 5/2008 New England 30 - 3.0 at San Francisco 21 10/ 5/2008 Indianapolis 31 - 3.0 at Houston 27 9/28/2008 Philadelphia 20 - 3.0 at Chicago 24 9/21/2008 Dallas 27 - 3.0 at Green Bay 16 9/14/2008 Green Bay 48 - 3.0 at Detroit 25 9/ 8/2008 Denver 41 - 3.0 at Oakland 14 9/ 7/2008 Jacksonville 10 - 3.0 at Tennessee 17 9/ 7/2008 NY Jets 20 - 3.0 at Miami 14 9/ 7/2008 Detroit 21 - 3.0 at Atlanta 34 12/30/2007 Cincinnati 38 - 3.0 at Miami 25 12/30/2007 Minnesota 19 - 3.0 at Denver 22 12/30/2007 New Orleans 25 - 3.0 at Chicago 33 12/30/2007 Seattle 41 - 3.0 at Atlanta 44 12/23/2007 Cleveland 14 - 3.0 at Cincinnati 19 12/16/2007 Baltimore 16 - 3.0 at Miami 22 12/ 9/2007 Tampa Bay 14 - 3.0 at Houston 28 11/25/2007 Seattle 24 - 3.0 at Saint Louis 19 11/25/2007 New Orleans 31 - 3.0 at Carolina 6 11/18/2007 Saint Louis 13 - 3.0 at San Francisco 9 11/18/2007 New Orleans 10 - 3.0 at Houston 23 11/18/2007 Tampa Bay 31 - 3.0 at Atlanta 7 11/11/2007 Indianapolis 21 - 3.0 at San Diego 23 11/11/2007 Chicago 17 - 3.0 at Oakland 6 11/ 4/2007 Dallas 38 - 3.0 at Philadelphia 17 11/ 4/2007 New England 24 - 3.0 at Indianapolis 20 10/28/2007 Cleveland 27 - 3.0 at Saint Louis 20 10/28/2007 Pittsburgh 24 - 3.0 at Cincinnati 13 10/22/2007 Indianapolis 29 - 3.0 at Jacksonville 7 10/21/2007 Baltimore 14 - 3.0 at Buffalo 19 10/14/2007 Philadelphia 16 - 3.0 at NY Jets 9 10/14/2007 Cincinnati 20 - 3.0 at Kansas City 27 9/30/2007 Philadelphia 3 - 3.0 at NY Giants 16 9/30/2007 Chicago 27 - 3.0 at Detroit 37 9/30/2007 Houston 16 - 3.0 at Atlanta 26 9/23/2007 Carolina 27 - 3.0 at Atlanta 20 9/16/2007 New Orleans 14 - 3.0 at Tampa Bay 31 9/ 9/2007 Philadelphia 13 - 3.0 at Green Bay 16 12/17/2006 Jacksonville 17 - 3.0 at Tennessee 24 12/17/2006 Denver 37 - 3.0 at Arizona 20 12/16/2006 Dallas 38 - 3.0 at Atlanta 28 12/10/2006 New England 0 - 3.0 at Miami 21 12/10/2006 Seattle 21 - 3.0 at Arizona 27 12/ 4/2006 Carolina 24 - 3.0 at Philadelphia 27 12/ 3/2006 NY Jets 38 - 3.0 at Green Bay 10 11/26/2006 NY Giants 21 - 3.0 at Tennessee 24 11/23/2006 Denver 10 - 3.0 at Kansas City 19 11/23/2006 Miami 27 - 3.0 at Detroit 10 10/30/2006 New England 31 - 3.0 at Minnesota 7 10/22/2006 Arizona 9 - 3.0 at Oakland 22 10/22/2006 Pittsburgh 38 - 3.0 at Atlanta 41 10/15/2006 Seattle 30 - 3.0 at Saint Louis 28 10/ 1/2006 San Diego 13 - 3.0 at Baltimore 16 9/25/2006 Atlanta 3 - 3.0 at New Orleans 23 9/17/2006 Saint Louis 13 - 3.0 at San Francisco 20 9/17/2006 Carolina 13 - 3.0 at Minnesota 16 9/10/2006 Denver 10 - 3.0 at Saint Louis 18 9/10/2006 Indianapolis 26 - 3.0 at NY Giants 21 1/ 1/2006 Baltimore 16 - 3.0 at Cleveland 20 12/25/2005 Chicago 24 - 3.0 at Green Bay 17 12/25/2005 Minnesota 23 - 3.0 at Baltimore 30 12/11/2005 New England 35 - 3.0 at Buffalo 7 12/11/2005 Washington 17 - 3.0 at Arizona 13 12/ 5/2005 Seattle 42 - 3.0 at Philadelphia 0 12/ 4/2005 Arizona 17 - 3.0 at San Francisco 10 12/ 4/2005 Jacksonville 20 - 3.0 at Cleveland 14 11/27/2005 San Diego 23 - 3.0 at Washington 17 11/24/2005 Atlanta 27 - 3.0 at Detroit 7 11/ 7/2005 Indianapolis 40 - 3.0 at New England 21 10/16/2005 Cincinnati 31 - 3.0 at Tennessee 23 10/ 9/2005 Tampa Bay 12 - 3.0 at NY Jets 14 10/ 9/2005 Philadelphia 10 - 3.0 at Dallas 33 10/ 9/2005 Carolina 24 - 3.0 at Arizona 20 9/25/2005 Tampa Bay 17 - 3.0 at Green Bay 16 9/25/2005 Cincinnati 24 - 3.0 at Chicago 7 9/18/2005 New England 17 - 3.0 at Carolina 27 9/12/2005 Philadelphia 10 - 3.0 at Atlanta 14 9/11/2005 Saint Louis 25 - 3.0 at San Francisco 28 9/11/2005 Indianapolis 24 - 3.0 at Baltimore 7 12/26/2004 New England 23 - 3.0 at NY Jets 7 12/26/2004 Atlanta 13 - 3.0 at New Orleans 26 12/19/2004 Minnesota 28 - 3.0 at Detroit 27 12/19/2004 Buffalo 33 - 3.0 at Cincinnati 17 12/ 5/2004 Buffalo 42 - 3.0 at Miami 32 12/ 5/2004 Pittsburgh 17 - 3.0 at Jacksonville 16 11/28/2004 NY Jets 13 - 3.0 at Arizona 3 11/21/2004 Green Bay 16 - 3.0 at Houston 13 11/14/2004 NY Giants 14 - 3.0 at Arizona 17 10/31/2004 New England 20 - 3.0 at Pittsburgh 34 10/ 3/2004 Denver 16 - 3.0 at Tampa Bay 13 10/ 3/2004 Tennessee 17 - 3.0 at San Diego 38 10/ 3/2004 New Orleans 10 - 3.0 at Arizona 34 9/26/2004 Philadelphia 30 - 3.0 at Detroit 13 9/19/2004 Seattle 10 - 3.0 at Tampa Bay 6 9/19/2004 NY Jets 34 - 3.0 at San Diego 28 9/19/2004 Denver 6 - 3.0 at Jacksonville 7 9/12/2004 Atlanta 21 - 3.0 at San Francisco 19 9/11/2004 Tennessee 17 - 3.0 at Miami 7 12/21/2003 Baltimore 35 - 3.0 at Cleveland 0 12/20/2003 New England 21 - 3.0 at NY Jets 16 12/20/2003 Kansas City 20 - 3.0 at Minnesota 45 11/30/2003 Denver 22 - 3.0 at Oakland 8 11/30/2003 Tampa Bay 10 - 3.0 at Jacksonville 17 11/ 9/2003 Tampa Bay 24 - 3.0 at Carolina 27 10/19/2003 Tampa Bay 7 - 3.0 at San Francisco 24 10/19/2003 Dallas 38 - 3.0 at Detroit 7 10/19/2003 Baltimore 26 - 3.0 at Cincinnati 34 10/12/2003 Tampa Bay 35 - 3.0 at Washington 13 10/ 5/2003 Oakland 21 - 3.0 at Chicago 24 9/28/2003 Jacksonville 20 - 3.0 at Houston 24 9/28/2003 Kansas City 17 - 3.0 at Baltimore 10 9/14/2003 Miami 21 - 3.0 at NY Jets 10 12/15/2002 Baltimore 23 - 3.0 at Houston 19 12/15/2002 NY Jets 13 - 3.0 at Chicago 20 12/ 8/2002 Oakland 27 - 3.0 at San Diego 7 12/ 1/2002 Tampa Bay 20 - 3.0 at New Orleans 23 12/ 1/2002 Pittsburgh 25 - 3.0 at Jacksonville 23 12/ 1/2002 Baltimore 27 - 3.0 at Cincinnati 23 11/17/2002 Pittsburgh 23 - 3.0 at Tennessee 31 11/17/2002 Cleveland 27 - 3.0 at Cincinnati 20 10/27/2002 Oakland 10 - 3.0 at Kansas City 20 10/ 6/2002 Philadelphia 25 - 3.0 at Jacksonville 28 10/ 6/2002 Oakland 49 - 3.0 at Buffalo 31 9/29/2002 New England 14 - 3.0 at San Diego 21 9/29/2002 Miami 30 - 3.0 at Kansas City 48 9/15/2002 Tampa Bay 25 - 3.0 at Baltimore 0 9/ 8/2002 Saint Louis 16 - 3.0 at Denver 23 12/16/2001 Philadelphia 20 - 3.0 at Washington 6 12/16/2001 Minnesota 24 - 3.0 at Detroit 27 12/ 9/2001 Tennessee 24 - 3.0 at Minnesota 42 12/ 9/2001 New Orleans 28 - 3.0 at Atlanta 10 12/ 3/2001 Green Bay 28 - 3.0 at Jacksonville 21 11/29/2001 Philadelphia 23 - 3.0 at Kansas City 10 11/25/2001 New Orleans 17 - 3.0 at New England 34 10/28/2001 Miami 24 - 3.0 at Seattle 20 10/28/2001 NY Jets 13 - 3.0 at Carolina 12 10/21/2001 Green Bay 13 - 3.0 at Minnesota 35 10/21/2001 Kansas City 16 - 3.0 at Arizona 24 10/14/2001 San Francisco 37 - 3.0 at Atlanta 31 10/ 7/2001 Jacksonville 15 - 3.0 at Seattle 24 10/ 7/2001 San Diego 16 - 3.0 at Cleveland 20 9/30/2001 Kansas City 45 - 3.0 at Washington 13 9/30/2001 Pittsburgh 20 - 3.0 at Buffalo 3 9/30/2001 Atlanta 34 - 3.0 at Arizona 14 12/31/2000 Tampa Bay 3 - 3.0 at Philadelphia 21 12/17/2000 Denver 7 - 3.0 at Kansas City 20 11/19/2000 Oakland 31 - 3.0 at New Orleans 22 11/12/2000 New Orleans 20 - 3.0 at Carolina 10 11/ 6/2000 Minnesota 20 - 3.0 at Green Bay 26 10/29/2000 Carolina 12 - 3.0 at Atlanta 13 9/17/2000 Pittsburgh 20 - 3.0 at Cleveland 23 12/26/1999 Jacksonville 14 - 3.0 at Tennessee 41 12/26/1999 Oakland 20 - 3.0 at San Diego 23 12/26/1999 Minnesota 34 - 3.0 at NY Giants 17 12/26/1999 Buffalo 13 - 3.0 at New England 10 12/19/1999 Detroit 10 - 3.0 at Chicago 28 12/19/1999 Buffalo 31 - 3.0 at Arizona 21 12/12/1999 Miami 20 - 3.0 at NY Jets 28 12/ 6/1999 Minnesota 17 - 3.0 at Tampa Bay 24 12/ 5/1999 Green Bay 35 - 3.0 at Chicago 19 11/14/1999 Indianapolis 27 - 3.0 at NY Giants 19 10/31/1999 Saint Louis 21 - 3.0 at Tennessee 24 10/31/1999 New England 27 - 3.0 at Arizona 3 10/17/1999 Indianapolis 16 - 3.0 at NY Jets 13 9/27/1999 San Francisco 24 - 3.0 at Arizona 10 9/12/1999 Buffalo 14 - 3.0 at Indianapolis 31 12/21/1998 Denver 21 - 3.0 at Miami 31 12/20/1998 San Francisco 21 - 3.0 at New England 24 12/19/1998 Tampa Bay 16 - 3.0 at Washington 20 12/ 6/1998 Miami 27 - 3.0 at Oakland 17 11/29/1998 Tampa Bay 31 - 3.0 at Chicago 17 11/15/1998 Miami 13 - 3.0 at Carolina 9 11/ 9/1998 Green Bay 20 - 3.0 at Pittsburgh 27 10/25/1998 Tampa Bay 3 - 3.0 at New Orleans 9 10/11/1998 Buffalo 31 - 3.0 at Indianapolis 24 10/11/1998 Pittsburgh 20 - 3.0 at Cincinnati 25 9/27/1998 Jacksonville 27 - 3.0 at Tennessee 22 9/ 6/1998 Seattle 38 - 3.0 at Philadelphia 0 9/ 6/1998 Pittsburgh 20 - 3.0 at Baltimore 13 12/ 7/1997 Atlanta 14 - 3.0 at San Diego 3 12/ 4/1997 Tennessee 14 - 3.0 at Cincinnati 41 12/ 1/1997 Green Bay 27 - 3.0 at Minnesota 11 11/23/1997 Carolina 16 - 3.0 at Saint Louis 10 11/23/1997 Pittsburgh 20 - 3.0 at Philadelphia 23 11/16/1997 Denver 22 - 3.0 at Kansas City 24 11/16/1997 NY Jets 23 - 3.0 at Chicago 15 11/ 9/1997 Seattle 37 - 3.0 at San Diego 31 11/ 9/1997 New England 31 - 3.0 at Buffalo 10 11/ 9/1997 Tampa Bay 31 - 3.0 at Atlanta 10 11/ 2/1997 Washington 31 - 3.0 at Chicago 8 10/19/1997 New England 19 - 3.0 at NY Jets 24 10/13/1997 Dallas 16 - 3.0 at Washington 21 10/ 5/1997 NY Jets 16 - 3.0 at Indianapolis 12 8/31/1997 Oakland 21 - 3.0 at Tennessee 24 8/31/1997 Philadelphia 17 - 3.0 at NY Giants 31 8/31/1997 Jacksonville 28 - 3.0 at Baltimore 27 12/15/1996 Washington 26 - 3.0 at Arizona 27 12/ 8/1996 Washington 10 - 3.0 at Tampa Bay 24 12/ 1/1996 Houston 35 - 3.0 at NY Jets 10 12/ 1/1996 Buffalo 10 - 3.0 at Indianapolis 13 11/17/1996 Carolina 20 - 3.0 at Saint Louis 10 11/10/1996 Green Bay 20 - 3.0 at Kansas City 27 10/27/1996 Dallas 29 - 3.0 at Miami 10 10/13/1996 Philadelphia 19 - 3.0 at NY Giants 10 9/29/1996 Denver 14 - 3.0 at Cincinnati 10 9/ 1/1996 Atlanta 6 - 3.0 at Carolina 29 the home team covered 50.00 % of the time the road team covered 50.00 % of the time ave ATS differential = 0.22 the favorite covered 50.00 % of the time the underdog covered 50.00 % of the time ave ATS differential = -0.22 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- last 8 results for each team: *** ----------------------------------------------------------------------