Entropy's Vegas Plays

Wow! Two weeks into the 2010 CFB season, the Entropy system has turned in dominant performances in the CFPOOL and on The Prediction Tracker. Entropy is 3rd out of 253 contestants in the CFPOOL. The Tracker documents Entropy with a 77-7 record on straight-up winners. The updated Vegas Line is 75-9 on that measure, and the great majority of systems are 72-12 or worse. Entropy also has one of the best mean prediction error values. You can follow all of our results and statistical break-downs here.

Now back to what usually greets readers on this page...

Reasons to subscribe:

A) Bettors might do well simply using our freely published margin of victory predictions to wager. However, they would do better with our subscription picks. For example, in the 2008/09 NFL season, our predictions on all games covered ATS (against the spread) 55.9 percent of the time. Meanwhile, 61.7 percent of our subscription plays won. That's a big difference. Such high returns should not be expected every season, but you can expect a few percent gain with the subscription picks, and a few percent is often the difference between profit and loss.

B) Subscribers get predictions for totals and strategies for how to best profit from them. Totals projections cannot be found in the free content. Comprehensive advice on totals is rare - look around and see how few of our competitors offer totals on every game.

C) The Entropy ratings and predictions are updated promptly. While most sites take until the next morning or later to update, Entropy's new numbers are usually posted within minutes of the last result of the night. Also, subscriber content is updated earlier than the free predictions.

D) Entropy's accuracy has been documented by other sites. To name a few:

Todd Beck's Prediction Tracker
The CFPOOL
sports-bettors.com

The Prediction Tracker site has documented:

During the 2008/09 season, sports-bettors.com showed Entropy to be the most profitable system on NFL selections from early October through the Superbowl.

In the CFPOOL, hundreds of participants pick the winners of 18 games each week. Picks are given weights by confidence, making the contest an excellent competitive benchmark for a computer system. Entropy took first place Week 3 of 2007 and Week 11 of 2008. The site maintains records for each week going back several years. It does not appear any other system has won two weeks.

Note that winning this type of pool is incredibly difficult for a system. There are improbable upsets every week, and no system is ever going to pick a big underdog to win straight-up. Thus, it is more common for non-system contestants to win the pool, since they have the freedom to put some big upsets on their entries. Contestants who get lucky on a few upset picks are most likely to win the week. Pulling off a CFPOOL weekly win is extremely difficult. (Try it and see!)

For 2009/10, Entropy finished in 5th place among 278 participants in the CFPOOL, and was the top-ranked computer system.

E) At least two independent pundits have chosen to include the Entropy ratings in their polls:

F) I do not aspire to become huge. The big players in sports handicapping can actually affect the point spreads. I don't want to have that kind of influence. I simply have an enthusiasm for prediction, and a desire to share it. You will never find me touting "locks" in radio or TV ads.

G) Look at the price! Consider it a small tuition payment to enter Sports Wagering 101.

Vegas Plays home <-- Subscribe with the easy-to-use PayPal portal near the bottom of the page - no memberships needed, just a credit card.